Bitcoin’s meteoric rise has captivated investors, institutions, and enthusiasts alike, sparking countless debates about its future value. Will it reach $1 million by 2030? Could global adoption push it even higher? To help answer these questions, we’re excited to unveil our advanced Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool, a web-based simulator powered by a hybrid Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model inspired by PlanB's work. Enhanced with user-defined growth rates, customisable scarcity sensitivity, and dynamic allocation sliders.
This tool allows users to forecast Bitcoin’s price with unprecedented flexibility. Let’s dive into its features, functionality, and how you can start using it today.
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and simulation purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research. NFA, DYOR.
What Makes This Tool Unique?
Our Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool combines PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model with innovative enhancements to capture both Bitcoin’s inherent scarcity and external demand drivers. Here’s a breakdown of its core functionality and standout features:
1. Hybrid Stock-to-Flow (S2F) Model
The S2F model, pioneered by PlanB, predicts Bitcoin’s price based on its scarcity, calculated as the ratio of existing supply (stock) to annual production (flow). Bitcoin’s halving events, which occur roughly every four years, reduce the block reward, slashing flow and increasing scarcity—a key driver of historical price surges. Our tool uses a calibrated S2F model, anchored to a reference price of $100,000 in May 2025 (post-2024 halving), with a comprehensive halving schedule extending to 2050.
Customisable S2F Exponent: Adjust the model’s sensitivity to scarcity (2.0–4.0, default 3.5). A conservative 2.0 predicts a 4x price increase per halving, while an optimistic 4.0 forecasts a 16x jump, letting you align with bearish critics or bullish commentators.The S2F model, pioneered by PlanB, predicts Bitcoin’s price based on its scarcity, calculated as the ratio of existing supply (stock) to annual production (flow). Bitcoin’s halving events, which occur roughly every four years, reduce the block reward, slashing flow and increasing scarcity—a key driver of historical price surges. Our tool uses a calibrated S2F model, anchored to a reference price of $100,000 in May 2025 (post-2024 halving), with a comprehensive halving schedule extending to 2050.
Accurate Supply Modelling: The tool accounts for a total mined supply of 19.8375 million BTC by 2028, ensuring precise S2F calculations.
2. Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Beyond scarcity, Bitcoin’s price is driven by adoption. Our tool lets you set a CAGR (0%–20%) to model steady demand growth starting from the next halving in May, 2028. This feature captures the impact of increasing institutional and retail interest over time, compounding your price predictions for a more holistic forecast.
Beyond scarcity, Bitcoin’s price is driven by adoption. Our tool lets you set a CAGR (0%–20%) to model steady demand growth starting from the next halving in May, 2028. This feature captures the impact of increasing institutional and retail interest over time, compounding your price predictions for a more holistic forecast.
3. Dynamic Allocation Sliders
Bitcoin’s price isn’t just about supply — it’s about who holds it. Our tool introduces seven allocation sliders, allowing you to simulate demand by assigning percentages of Bitcoin’s 19.74 million BTC supply to different holder categories, each with a weighted price impact:
Bitcoin’s price isn’t just about supply — it’s about who holds it. Our tool introduces seven allocation sliders, allowing you to simulate demand by assigning percentages of Bitcoin’s 19.74 million BTC supply to different holder categories, each with a weighted price impact:
ETFs (0.5 weight): Institutional investment, e.g., Bitcoin ETFs.
Retail (0.4): Individual investors, known for volatile demand.
Bank Accounts (0.2): Custodial holdings with minimal impact.
U.S. Reserve (3.0): Government reserves, a major price driver.
International Reserves (2.0): Global adoption by sovereign nations.
Businesses (0.3): Corporate treasuries, like Tesla or Square.
Treasury Companies (0.7): Aggressive accumulators, such as MicroStrategy.
The total allocation cannot exceed 100%, and the tool intelligently adjusts sliders to enforce this constraint, ensuring realistic simulations. For example, allocating 10% to the U.S. Reserve could increase the price by 30% due to its high weight.
4. Macro Conditions
Market sentiment plays a critical role in Bitcoin’s price. Choose from three macro conditions to fine-tune your forecast:
Bullish (+20%): Optimistic market environment.
Neutral (no change): Balanced conditions.
Bearish (-20%): Pessimistic outlook.
Market sentiment plays a critical role in Bitcoin’s price. Choose from three macro conditions to fine-tune your forecast:
Bullish (+20%): Optimistic market environment.
Neutral (no change): Balanced conditions.
Bearish (-20%): Pessimistic outlook.
5. Market Cap Ceiling
The tool caps Bitcoin’s market capitalisation at $800 trillion, translating to a maximum price of ~$38 million per BTC (based on a 21 million BTC total supply). A little optimistic for sure, but remember this is just a model.
The tool caps Bitcoin’s market capitalisation at $800 trillion, translating to a maximum price of ~$38 million per BTC (based on a 21 million BTC total supply). A little optimistic for sure, but remember this is just a model.
6. Visualisations
The tool delivers results through the following visuals:
The tool delivers results through the following visuals:
Summary Canvas: A simple graphic displaying your predicted price, selected date, halving count, S2F exponent, CAGR, allocations, and macro conditions.
Price Chart: A logarithmic line chart, powered by Chart.js, plots the BTC price and S2F ratio from May 2028 to your chosen date, offering a clear view of price trends over time.
7. Sharing and Exporting
Share your predictions with the world or save them for future reference:
Share your predictions with the world or save them for future reference:
Social Sharing: Post your results to X, Facebook, or WhatsApp with a pre-formatted message summarising your simulation.
Downloads: Export the summary canvas or price chart as PNG images for presentations, reports, or personal use.
8. User-Friendly Interface
Built with a sleek, orange-themed design, the tool is intuitive and accessible. A detailed “How to Use” popup provides clear instructions, making it easy for beginners and experts alike to explore Bitcoin’s future.
Built with a sleek, orange-themed design, the tool is intuitive and accessible. A detailed “How to Use” popup provides clear instructions, making it easy for beginners and experts alike to explore Bitcoin’s future.
Quick How-to-Use Guide
Getting started with the Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool is simple. Follow these steps to create your custom forecast.
Getting started with the Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool is simple. Follow these steps to create your custom forecast.
Read Instructions: Click the “HOW TO USE” button to open a popup with detailed guidance on sliders and settings.
Select a Date: Choose a month and year after the next halving (May 2028 or later) from the dropdown menus to set your prediction target.
Adjust Settings:
CAGR: Slide between 0% and 20% to model adoption growth.
S2F Exponent: Set between 2.0 and 4.0 to adjust scarcity sensitivity (default: 3.5).
Allocation Sliders: Assign percentages of Bitcoin’s supply to ETFs, Retail, U.S. Reserve, etc. Ensure the total doesn’t exceed 100%.
Macro Conditions: Select Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish from the dropdown.
View Results: The tool instantly calculates the predicted BTC price for your chosen date, displayed in the results section.
Explore Visuals: Review the summary canvas and price chart to visualise your forecast.
Share or Save: Share your prediction on X, Facebook, or WhatsApp, or download the summary image and chart as PNGs.
Why Use This Tool?
Whether you’re stress-testing investment strategies, exploring Bitcoin’s long-term potential, or simply curious about its future, our Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool offers unmatched flexibility and depth. By blending PlanB’s S2F model with user-driven inputs like CAGR, allocation sliders, and macro conditions, it provides a comprehensive framework to simulate countless scenarios. The charts and sharing features make it a powerful tool for both personal analysis and community discussions.
Whether you’re stress-testing investment strategies, exploring Bitcoin’s long-term potential, or simply curious about its future, our Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool offers unmatched flexibility and depth. By blending PlanB’s S2F model with user-driven inputs like CAGR, allocation sliders, and macro conditions, it provides a comprehensive framework to simulate countless scenarios. The charts and sharing features make it a powerful tool for both personal analysis and community discussions.
Limitations and Considerations
While our tool is robust, it’s important to understand its scope.
While our tool is robust, it’s important to understand its scope.
Not Financial Advice: The predictions are simulations based on mathematical models and are meant to be illustrative rather than definitive forecasts.
Model Assumptions: The S2F model, while historically correlated with price, is debated, and future adoption or regulatory changes are inherently uncertain.
Simplified Demand Model: The allocation sliders use fixed weights, which may not fully capture complex market dynamics.
Get Started Today
Get Started Today
Ready to forecast Bitcoin’s future? Head to project qultra and start experimenting with the Bitcoin Price Prediction Tool. Whether you’re bullish on a $10 million BTC or cautiously optimistic, this tool lets you explore the possibilities with ease. Share your predictions on X with #QSimBitcoin and join the global conversation about the future price of bitcoin.
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